Conversations tagged with: Superforecasting
Title | |
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Condensing it All Into Four Big Problems and a Killer App Solution | |
Skillful Backward and Forward Reasoning in Time: Superforecasting Requires "Counterfactualizing" | |
Counterfactual History: The Elusive Control Groups in Policy Debates | |
Forecasting Tournaments: What We Discover When We Start Scoring Accuracy |